Moneynews RSS FeedTue, 21 May 2013 07:50:40 EDTI have never been one to try and pick the exact top or the exact bottom of a market, but I do believe in making adjustments to my asset allocation when I see a correction looming.Tue, 14 May 2013 07:38:20 EDTGold has been mired in a slump for the past seven months, as the price has fallen from the $1,800 level to a low below $1,325 in April.Tue, 07 May 2013 07:40:38 EDTOne of the things I like to do each weekend is look at the charts for each of the indices in different timeframes. I look at the daily, weekly and monthly charts for each of the main indices.Tue, 30 Apr 2013 07:39:31 EDTA mere eight trading days ago, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) looked like it was ready to make a run to the 20 level or possibly even higher.Tue, 23 Apr 2013 11:57:24 EDTAfter seeing a steady decline in net long positions for the last 10 weeks, large speculators finally reversed course and added silver contracts in the most recent Commitment of Traders (COT) report.Tue, 16 Apr 2013 07:41:40 EDTGold and silver have been absolutely slaughtered over the last two trading days. In fact, the drop in gold is the largest two-day loss since 1980.Tue, 09 Apr 2013 07:37:20 EDTThroughout the first quarter, we watched as the Standard & Poor’s 500 gained ground week after week. By the end of the quarter, the index gained ground in 11 of the 13 weeks. As one would expect, as the market moved higher, the optimism moved higher as well.Tue, 02 Apr 2013 07:39:49 EDTI have not written about corn futures since last September, when the grain was at the tail end of a three-month rally that saw prices jump over 50 percent in three short months.Tue, 26 Mar 2013 07:19:15 EDTWe could still see the extreme net long position mark a turning point in the market, it just might be that it marks a market top instead of a bottom.Tue, 19 Mar 2013 07:38:18 EDTI have been cautious about stocks for some time now, but over the last week there have been several warning signs flashed from several sentiment indicators.Tue, 12 Mar 2013 07:41:55 EDTSince spiking to almost $50 an ounce in April 2011, silver has been in a gradual decline, with the metal putting in a series of lower highs over the last two years.Tue, 05 Mar 2013 07:42:17 EDTOne of the axioms you will hear most frequently about investing and, in particular, the stock market is that “the market doesn’t like uncertainty.”Tue, 26 Feb 2013 07:39:13 EDTOver the last few months, I have written numerous articles about the Investors Intelligence report and the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX). As the Standard & Poor’s 500 went on its incredible run (gaining ground in 11 of 13 weeks), the optimism rose to concerning levels.Tue, 19 Feb 2013 07:42:27 EDTWhile stocks have been soaring, gold has been mired in a downswing, with prices falling 7.9 percent in the last 13 weeks and losing ground in seven of them.Tue, 12 Feb 2013 07:38:34 EDTFor the past month or so, I have been watching a particular indicator more closely than usual anticipating that it was going to break a threshold I consider to be a bearish sign.Tue, 05 Feb 2013 07:35:57 EDTTwo weeks ago, I wrote an article regarding the Commitment of Traders (COT) for oil. The gist of the article was that you should be leery of oil rallying once the large speculator group reaches a net long position of 250,000 contracts or more.Tue, 29 Jan 2013 07:39:51 EDTThe market has been on an incredible run over the last 10 weeks. In all but two of the past 10 weeks, the Standard & Poor’s 500 has moved higher. We saw a similar rally in the first quarter of last year.Tue, 22 Jan 2013 07:47:30 EDTOver the last three months, oil prices have moved up from $85 a barrel to $95 a barrel. The Commitment of Traders report shows that large speculators have grown more bullish during this same time period.Tue, 15 Jan 2013 07:40:26 EDTLast week, I wrote about the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) and how it had dropped below the 15 level for the first time since last September. Looking at another sentiment indicator and the chart of the Standard & Poor’s 500, it appears that we have a very similar market now.Tue, 08 Jan 2013 07:47:40 EDTWhen the rumors started on New Year’s Eve that Congress was close to a budget deal, the market rallied. When Congress actually voted and approved the deal on New Year’s Day, the market was primed for a huge rally on Jan. 2.