The bull market for gold will ultimately resume and push the precious metal to $2,500 an ounce, says independent strategist Charles Nenner.
He focuses on technical factors – chart patterns – to produce his forecasts. Gold has dropped 18 percent, to $1,570, from its record high of $1,924 last September.
Nenner expects the downward move to continue through the end of August or into September, likely to $1,375. “But I think it will go much higher later in the year,” he tells Yahoo.
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As for stocks, Nenner expects them to bottom next week, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index descending to 1,280 and perhaps beyond.
Then stocks should rise about 6 percent, powered by a similar increase in earnings, Nenner says.
He forecasts stocks will stay in trading bands of about 5 percent for the next two years.
When it comes to bonds, Nenner is a big bear.
“First people lost their shirts on the stock market, then the gold market," he says. "I'm afraid that now they're going to lose a lot of money on their bond positions."
There is no way interest rates will stay near record lows, Nenner says.
Getting back to gold, some experts don’t see a major trend for the metal now.
"Gold is capped on the upside by disappointment [that the Federal Reserve isn’t easing more,] while on the downside, we have some bargain hunting," Societe Generale analyst Robin Bhar tells Reuters.
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