Cisco Shares Plummet, Sinking Broader Market

Thursday, 11 Nov 2010 10:16 AM

 

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Tech bellwether Cisco Systems lost 17 percent of its market value in frenzied trading on Thursday, a day after a gloomy revenue outlook left investors jittery, and some brokerages downgraded the stock.

More than $23.5 billion eroded from the company's market cap with about 200 million shares changing hands in 30 minutes of trading, four times their 50-day moving average volume.

If Cisco closes with this percentage loss, it would be the worst one-day percentage fall for the shares since July 14, 1994, when shares fell 17.71 percent, according to Thomson Reuters Datastream.

Shares of rivals Juniper Networks, F5 Networks, Riverbed Technology and Jabil Circuit also sank. Cisco also dragged down the broader market.

At least three brokerages lowered their ratings and six others cut their price targets on the shares of the company, which said weak spending by its public sector customers and soft orders from its cable segment hurt its results.

The disappointing forecast comes a quarter after Cisco warned of an uncertain economy, but led industry watchers to speculate if the weakness was in Cisco's business alone, given its high exposure to the public sector, which has been hemmed in by debt.

In an interview with CNBC on Thursday morning, Cisco Chief Executive John Chambers said the shortfall is not a "call on the economy in any way, adding that the world's top manufacturer of routers and switches did not see any unusual price competition.

Brokerage Stifel Niolaus said in a note to clients: "While we believe that the public sector issue is likely to impact Cisco's peers too, Cisco probably has bigger exposure to that market than some competitors."

Juniper, F5 Networks and Riverbed had forecast upbeat growth prospects while reporting quarterly results recently.

"We consider the weakness at least in part a function of (market) share loss rather than a soft macro," said Barclays Capital.

On Wednesday, Chambers warned that Europe would be soft in the near-term, but said Cisco would eventually get back on track to achieve its long-term target of 12-17 percent annual revenue growth.

"We believe that the stock will trade down in the near-term and sideways over the next few months with no immediate catalysts," BernStein Research said.

William Blair and Co. said Cisco's size and market-share saturation in the core business of switching and routing, combined with competitive pressures were adding to the stew.

The stock has risen 3 percent since Cisco reported fourth-quarter results on Aug. 11.

© 2014 Thomson/Reuters. All rights reserved.

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