Tags: Roubini | us | Economy | Anemic

Roubini: I Don’t See Sustainable Recovery in ‘Anemic’ US Economy

Monday, 09 Apr 2012 08:01 AM

By Dan Weil

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News that March payrolls rose a smaller-than-expected 120,000 reinforced the arguments of those who maintain that the U.S. economy is on shaky ground.

Nouriel Roubini, head of Roubini Global Economics, is one of the bears.

“The recovery is anemic, subpar, below trend, below potential,” the man whose frequent negative forecasts have earned him the nickname “Dr. Doom,” tells The New York Times.

Editor's Note: Obama’s Last-Ditch Effort to ‘Fix’ America Will Cause the Unthinkable

“Final sales are barely growing. So I don’t see a sustainable recovery coming from that.”

The economy grew 3 percent in the fourth quarter, but many experts expect a slowdown to about 2 percent for the first quarter.

“If we avoid a major external or internal shock,” such as a war with Iran or a major European default, “we may avoid another recession, and that might be good news,” Roubini says.

“But that’s where the good news ends.”

To be sure, after a series of positive economic data in the past few weeks, not all economists are pessimistic. “I’m relatively optimistic,” Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, tells The Times.

As for severe forecasts like Roubini’s, “I don’t really take those seriously,” he says.

But many experts share Roubini’s view that the recovery is in danger.

“This [jobs report] is still not strong enough to create escape velocity, which is to say an economy strong enough to make it on its own without additional monetary stimulus from the Federal Reserve,” Tony Crescenzi, a Pimco strategist, tells Bloomberg.

Editor's Note: Obama’s Last-Ditch Effort to ‘Fix’ America Will Cause the Unthinkable





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