Economic Growth Slower Than Thought as Business Spending Slows

Thursday, 27 May 2010 08:40 AM

 

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The U.S. economy grew at a slower pace than previously estimated in the first quarter as businesses investment slackened, while hard-hit state and local governments curbed spending at the steepest rate since 1981, a government report showed on Thursday.

Gross domestic product expanded at a 3.0 percent annual rate, the Commerce Department said, instead of the 3.2 percent pace it reported last month.

Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast GDP, which measures total goods and services output within U.S. borders, growing at a 3.4 percent rate in the January-March period. The economy expanded at a 5.6 percent pace in the fourth quarter and has now grown for three straight quarters.

Economists are monitoring the U.S. recovery closely to see how well the economy can endure the debt troubles that threaten to slow Europe's growth. The above-trend first-quarter U.S. growth suggests a solid base of support.

Output in the first three months of the year was revised down as business spending rose at only a 3.1 percent rate instead of the 4.1 percent initially reported last month. Spending grew at a 5.3 percent pace in the fourth quarter. Business spending on software and equipment increased at a 12.7 percent rather than the 13.4 percent rate reported last month.

State and local government spending contracted at a 3.9 percent rate, the largest decline since the second quarter of 1981.

However, consumer spending, which is key to the economy's recovery, held up well. Consumer spending increased at a 3.5 percent rate, rather than the 3.6 percent rate reported last month. Although it was revised down slightly, it was still more than double the 1.6 percent pace in the fourth quarter and the largest advance since the first quarter of 2007.

Consumer spending, which normally accounts for 70 percent of U.S. economic activity, added 2.42 percentage points to GDP last quarter, the largest contribution since the first quarter of 2007.

Real final sales to domestic purchasers, considered a better measure of domestic demand, rose at 2.0 percent rate. Sales were previously estimated to have increased at a 2.2 percent following a 1.4 percent rise in the fourth quarter.

Recovery from the longest and deepest recession since the Great Depression had so far been largely driven by the manufacturing sector as businesses replenished their warehouses to meet strengthening demand. Consumers, however, are now participating as the labor market begins to firm.

The GDP report also showed after tax corporate profits rose 2.1 percent in the first quarter after increasing 6.5 percent in the final three months of 2009. In the first quarter, business inventories rose $33.9 billion rather than $31.1 billion reported last month. It was first increase since the first quarter of 2008.

© 2014 Thomson/Reuters. All rights reserved.

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